Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.980433 2.278984 2.612572 3.013892 3.484859 4.021547 4.681605
2025-03-16 1.498828 1.884237 2.359249 2.991911 3.818675 4.870875 6.324919
2025-03-23 1.244857 1.658824 2.203386 2.980343 4.073651 5.577045 7.835183
2025-03-30 1.057991 1.475851 2.054597 2.927114 4.230841 6.141360 9.217883
2025-04-06 0.946209 1.373431 1.992360 2.971945 4.516130 6.912685 11.025487
2025-04-13 0.830997 1.247281 1.873771 2.907393 4.613745 7.397789 12.451486
2025-04-20 0.779226 1.208214 1.878231 3.029746 5.019749 8.433222 14.991839
2025-04-27 0.709780 1.131778 1.812368 3.024435 5.205020 9.115051 17.020264
2025-05-04 0.669797 1.097631 1.809690 3.123170 5.582668 10.193553 20.009726
2025-05-11 0.620612 1.041997 1.763244 3.136249 5.801747 11.005328 22.621583
2025-05-18 0.577014 0.990981 1.718360 3.144757 6.010401 11.825421 25.414518
2025-05-25 0.526271 0.921930 1.633341 3.065490 6.031613 12.262561 27.437741
2025-06-01 0.489495 0.879580 1.602057 3.106675 6.348912 13.476462 31.811798
2025-06-08 0.446925 0.822855 1.539210 3.080828 6.533559 14.470183 36.026971
2025-06-15 0.411558 0.775359 1.487563 3.069002 6.744860 15.567816 40.842420
2025-06-22 0.376243 0.723744 1.420934 3.014008 6.845631 16.418988 45.246585
2025-06-29 0.354431 0.696724 1.401275 3.060322 7.197377 17.985215 52.262310
2025-07-06 0.325246 0.651208 1.336913 2.993637 7.255299 18.787476 57.193792
2025-07-13 0.314469 0.643288 1.352876 3.120037 7.836403 21.176575 68.198779
2025-07-20 0.294731 0.613820 1.317294 3.114550 8.063537 22.601428 76.420488
2025-07-27 0.284181 0.603459 1.323897 3.216564 8.610439 25.133066 89.748117
2025-08-03 0.268711 0.580354 1.297989 3.230079 8.906079 26.953752 101.102842
2025-08-10 0.254282 0.558172 1.271739 3.238870 9.190675 28.817904 113.479919